069
FXUS61 KLWX 110751
AFDLWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
351 AM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Nothing.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Turning hotter much of next week with limited chances
for rainfall.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Turning hotter much of next week with limited chances
for rainfall.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
An upper level ridge will build over the East during the first
half of next week leading to a significant warmup with high
temperatures approaching or exceeding daily records,
particularly Wednesday when more widespready daily hi max and
daily hi min are more likely. Expect conditions to remain dry
much of next week, except perhaps for an isold shower or two
across the mountains.
&&
.AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NW to N winds with gusts up to 20 kt expected later today,
diminishing during the afternoon. Lighter winds Sunday. Stronger
SSW or SW winds Monday gusting 25-30 kt
&&
.MARINE...
A northerly surge behind a cdfnt this morning will bring SCA
gusts to the waters later today before winds begin to diminish
this afternoon. Winds should subside below SCA by the end of the
day, if not sooner.
Winds stay below SCA criteria tonight through Sunday, then pick
up in strength Sunday night into Monday with SCA conditions
expected. Another period of SCA conditions is likely during the
middle and second half of next week.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
A weak cold front will cross the area later this morning with
winds shifting first to NW then N. While it will turn dry with
Rh`s dropping into the 20s this afternoon, the strongest winds
will not overlap with the lowest humidities. Hence, no SPS will
be needed.
Lighter winds Sunday will preclude any issuance of SPS or RFWs.
Hotter temperatures next week combined with gusty SSW or S
winds will increase the fire weather risk, particularly Monday
and Thursday. SPS`s or RFW`s may be needed. No rainfall is
expected until next weekend.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Here are some daily temperature records during the April 14-16,
2026 timeframe:
A `+` sign indicates multiple years currently hold that record.
A `!` sign indicates the record is forecast to be tied or broken.
***TUESDAY, APRIL 14TH, 2026***
LOCATION RECORD HIGH (YEAR) RECORD WARM LOW (YEAR)
Washington-National (DCA) 91F (1960) 65F (2014)!
Washington-Dulles (IAD) 87F (1960)! 63F (2014)!
Baltimore (BWI) 91F (1941) 65F (2018)
Baltimore Inner Harbor (DMH) 90F (1960) 67F (2018)
Martinsburg (MRB) 87F (1960) 62F (2014)!
Charlottesville (CHO) 90F (1945)+! 67F (1899)
Annapolis (NAK) 90F (1941) 65F (1977)
Hagerstown (HGR) 86F (2024)+ 64F (2014)
***WEDNESDAY, APRIL 15TH, 2026***
LOCATION RECORD HIGH (YEAR) RECORD WARM LOW (YEAR)
Washington-National (DCA) 89F (1941)! 65F (2023)!
Washington-Dulles (IAD) 87F (1967)! 62F (2023)!
Baltimore (BWI) 88F (1941)! 65F (1941)!
Baltimore Inner Harbor (DMH) 92F (2024) 67F (1960)!
Martinsburg (MRB) 90F (1941) 63F (1967)
Charlottesville (CHO) 92F (2024)! 68F (1941)
Annapolis (NAK) 91F (1941) 68F (1994)
Hagerstown (HGR) 85F (1960)+! 61F (2023)+!
***THURSDAY, APRIL 16TH, 2026***
LOCATION RECORD HIGH (YEAR) RECORD WARM LOW (YEAR)
Washington-National (DCA) 92F (2002) 65F (2017)+!
Washington-Dulles (IAD) 91F (2002) 63F (2017)!
Baltimore (BWI) 90F (2012)+ 66F (1941)
Baltimore Inner Harbor (DMH) 91F (2012)+ 65F (2012)+
Martinsburg (MRB) 90F (2002)+ 63F (2017)+
Charlottesville (CHO) 92F (1976) 67F (1941)
Annapolis (NAK) 89F (2017) 70F (1994)
Hagerstown (HGR) 88F (2002) 62F (2002)
&&
.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...None.
MD...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 2 PM EDT this
afternoon for MDZ008.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 2 PM EDT this
afternoon for ANZ530>537-539>541-543.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...LFR/SRT
AVIATION...LFR/SRT
MARINE...LFR/SRT
NWS LWX Office Area Forecast Discussion